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DOES CONSUMER PRICE INDEX, EXCHANGE RATES AND GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT WILL AFFECT TOURISTS RECEIPTS : TOURISTS

FROM UNITED STATES

DG SITI HAFIZAH BINTI ZAIDI 2016673528

BACHELOR OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION WITH HONOURS (BUSINESS ECONOMICS) FACULTY OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT

UNIVERSITI TEKNOLOGI MARA KOTA KINABALU

June 2019

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DECLARATION OF ORIGINAL WORK

BACHELOR OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION WITH HONOURS (BUSINESS ECONOMICS)

FACULTY OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT UNIVERSITI TEKNOLOGI MARA

“DECLARATION OF ORIGINAL WORK”

I, DG SITI HAFIZAH BINTI ZAIDI, (I/C Number:971022-12-5982)

Hereby, declare that:

• This work has not previously been accepted in substance for any degree, locally or overseas, and is not being concurrently submitted for this degree or any other degrees.

• This project-paper is the result of my independent work and investigation, except where otherwise stated.

• All verbatim extracts have been distinguished by quotation marks and sources of my information have been specifically acknowledged.

Signature:________________________Date:_______________________

ii

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TABLE OF CONTENT

Page

TITLE PAGE i

DECLARATION OF ORIGINAL WORK ii

LETTER OF SUBMISSION iii

ACKNOWLEDGEMENT iv

TABLE OF CONTENTS v

LIST OF TABLES vi

LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS vii

ABSTRACT viii-x

Chapter 1 INTRODUCTION

1.1 Background Of Study 1-2

1.2 Problem Statement 3-4

1.3 Research Objective 5

1.4 Research Question 5

1.5 Significant of Study 6

1.6 Scope of Study 7

1.7 Limitation of Study 7

Chapter 2 LITERATURE REVIEW

2.0 Conceptual Framework & theoretical framework 8 2.1 Literature Review

2.1.1 Tourists Receipts (TRC) 9

2.1.2 Exchange Rate (ER) 10

2.1.3 Consumer Price Index (CPI) 10

2.1.4 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) 11

Chapter 3 DATA AND METHODOLOGY

3.1 Introduction 12

3.2 Data 12

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LIST OF TABLES

TABLE PAGE

Table 1.0 Multiple Regressions(OLS) 18

Table 2.0 Descriptive statistic 22

Table 3.0 Unit Root Test 23

Table 4.0 Correlation Test 24

Table 5.0 Ordinary Least Square (OLS) 25

Table 6.0 Variance Inflation Factor (VIF) 26

Table 7.0 Heteroskedasticity 27

Table 8.0 Johansen Cointegration Test 27

Table 9.0 Granger Causality Test 28

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ABSTRAC

Tourism receipts is amount of money received by a country based on inbound travel covering all tourist receipts derived from the expenses incurred by each traveler who come to the destination country. According to the statistics portal, total contribution in tourism sector recorded for 2017 is 8.27 Million US Dollar relatively higher compare with 7.61 Million US Dollar in 2016. However, Malaysia recorded decline in number of foreign tourist by 3% due to the decrease of 3.9% of tourist from ASEAN market in 2017. This paper discuss more on Consumer Price Index(CPI),Exchange Rate(ER), Gross Domestic Product (GDP) towards Tourists Receipts in Malaysia. To examine the relationship between independent variables and dependent variable, several method has been used in this study. There are seven method used to investigate the correlation between variables. These method consists of Descriptive Statistic, Unit Root Test, Correlation Coefficient, Ordinary Least Square (OLS), Diagnostic Check, Johansen Cointegration Test and Granger Causality Test. To observe the impact towards Tourists Receipts, the researcher are eager to scrutinize the significance of the result which are explain in OLS method. In addition, Johansen Cointegration test used in this paper to find out long run relationship between variables, while Granger Causality Test was employ in order to investigate the existence of short run between variables. Some finding from researchers has a different result depending on their nations economics and not following the theory.

However, all result captured in this study are following the theory even though CPI is not significant in OLS test, while

viii

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